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中科大地球与行星物理学术报告通知-俞瑶

报告地点:教学行政楼706

报告时间:2023-03-10 15:00--16:30

报告人:俞瑶(加州大学圣地亚哥分校)

报告人简介:

俞瑶,加州大学圣地亚哥分校,博士研究生,师从David Sandwell。2011年和2015年于武汉大学测绘学院获得测绘工程学士学位和硕士学位。主要研究方向为卫星测高和小尺度物理海洋学。

报告题目:Global mesoscale ocean variability from multi-year altimetry: an analysis of the influencing factors

报告内容简介

Sea surface slope (SSS) responds to oceanic processes and other environmental parameters. This study aims to identify the parameters that influence SSS variability. We use SSS calculated from multi-year satellite altimeter observations and focus on small resolvable scales in the 30-100 km wavelength band. First, we revisit the correlation of mesoscale ocean variability with seafloor roughness as a function of depth, proposed by Gille et al. (2000). Our results confirm that in shallow water, there is statistically significant positive correlation between rough bathymetry and surface variability, while the opposite is true in the deep ocean. In the next step, we assemble 27 features as input variables to fit the SSS with a linear regression model and a boosted trees regression model, then make predictions. Model performance metrics for the linear regression model are R2 = 38.1% and mean squared error = 0.010 μrad2.  For the boosted trees model, R2 = 56.3%, and mean squared error = 0.007 μrad2. Using the hold-out data, we identify the most important influencing factors to be the distance to the nearest thermocline boundary, significant wave height, mean dynamic topography gradient, and M2 tidal speed. However, there are individual regions, i.e. the Amazon outflow, that cannot be predicted by our model, suggesting that these regions are governed by processes not represented in our input features. The results highlight both the value of machine learning and its shortcomings in identifying mechanisms governing oceanic phenomena.